Waiting for the Catalyst: Bitcoin at a Late-Cycle Inflection Point

Bitcoin isn’t breaking down, but it isn’t breaking out either. Beneath the surface, the data shows a quiet shift in liquidity, positioning, and macro tone that most investors are overlooking. ETF enthusiasm has cooled, whales are no longer absorbing risk, and a subtle but important change in Fed expectations has removed one of Bitcoin’s most powerful tailwinds.

Meanwhile, a historically reliable cycle indicator just moved into territory it hasn’t touched in years. The question now is not whether Bitcoin resumes its uptrend, but what needs to happen first — and who will be positioned when it does. In this report, we break down the catalysts, timing signals, and behavioral shifts that matter next, and why patience may be the most profitable trade in the short term.

Please see our attached report (below).

Trading Strategy